Your league is won between picks 40 and 150.
That’s roughly nine picks where everyone at your table is guessing. We come out ahead of the market there far more often than not, tested across 14 seasons — so you spend those picks buying real value instead of hoping. Fewer busts to replace in September. More weeks you win because your bench isn’t carrying dead weight.
Nine picks decide your season. This is built to win them.
In a 12-team draft, picks 40–150 finish your starting lineup and build almost your entire bench. Get them right and you’re set. Get them wrong and you spend September scrambling on waivers with everyone else.
On some of those picks we’ll tell you to move early, before the room catches on. On others we’ll tell you the price is too high and to let someone else take the hit.
Dodge one bust and land one value, and you’ve just saved two roster spots you’d otherwise be replacing all season. That’s the whole return on this, and it happens on draft day, not in theory.
14 seasons of receipts, not promises.
Anyone can tell you their rankings are better. We went back 14 seasons, rebuilt each board from what was knowable before Week 1, and scored it against the market.
Market ADP is a brutal benchmark — it already contains every projection, every beat report, and every draft the public is running. Beating it is the only thing that puts extra points on your roster. We ran it at QB, RB, WR and TE across 14 seasons in picks 40–150. Every result below is a position-season comparison, not a per-player hit rate.
Our order is scored against Market ADP at every position, every season.
Be clear on what that number promises you. It isn't a hit rate on individual players — each result covers our whole order at one position in one season, versus the market's order. It tells you the board has been the better guide to lean on, not that any single pick is safe.
That edge holds across 14 seasons against the hardest benchmark in fantasy. Not one lucky year and not a cherry-picked window — the same test, every season, wins and losses both.
You’ll know when to pounce and when to let him go.
Every report puts our rank next to what the room is paying, with a projection, an 80% range, and his boom and bust odds. One glance tells you whether the price in front of you is a bargain or a trap.
When we’re lower than ADP, that’s a bullet dodged. A guy going at 70 that we have at 90 might still be fine. He isn’t worth that pick. Spend it on someone who is.
When we’re higher than ADP, that’s your window. Waiting for the market to come to you means watching someone else take him. Move first and you get the value while it’s still cheap.
You get the handful that survived, not the hundreds that didn’t.
Every offseason your feed fills up with the metric that’s supposedly going to win your league. Chasing those costs you an offseason and, worse, costs you picks when they turn out to be noise.
We test them so you don’t have to. Most die. A stat explains last season beautifully and predicts nothing. Or it lands too late to draft on. Or ADP priced it in months ago.
What reaches your board is only what beat the market in testing. You’re not paying for more numbers to sort through — you’re paying to never have to wonder which ones were worth anything.